Prediction Markets Trader
- Role
- Finance
- Experience
- Senior
- Employment
- Full-time
Open to Worldwide. Set where you work from to check your eligibility.
No BS summary
Senior prediction markets trader with a proven live trading track record. Must own capital, risk, execution decisions, and PnL in live markets, with deep understanding of prediction market mechanics, liquidity, event-driven pricing, and behavioral inefficiencies.
Our client is a proprietary trading firm focused on liquid digital asset markets, combining quantitative research, market structure insight, and disciplined risk management. They operate in a lean, high-performance environment with real ownership of capital and outcomes, and are expanding into prediction markets where strong traders can quickly build and scale edge. About the Role Our client is looking for a Prediction Market Trader to take direct ownership of capital, risk, and performance. This is a high-conviction seat where you will run strategies, manage live positions, and be fully accountable for PnL. They are open to both systematic and discretionary approaches, as long as your edge is real, repeatable, and proven in live trading. What You’ll Do Own PnL and risk across prediction market strategies Identify and execute event-driven trading opportunities Develop and refine systematic or discretionary strategies Apply probabilistic thinking, data analysis, and market structure insight to pricing inefficiencies Continuously improve performance through trade review, attribution, and iteration Collaborate with researchers and engineers to enhance execution, tooling, and infrastructure Requirements Proven live trading track record in prediction markets Clear ownership of capital, risk, and execution decisions Demonstrated ability to perform consistently across market regimes Deep understanding of: Prediction market mechanics Liquidity and execution dynamics Event-driven pricing Behavioral inefficiencies A structured process across: Idea generation Position sizing Risk management Post-trade analysis Strong Preference: Experience at a top-tier trading firm, hedge fund, betting market operation, or prediction market platform Background in high-performance, PnL-driven environments
What you'll do
- Own PnL and risk across prediction market strategies
- Identify and execute event-driven trading opportunities
- Develop and refine systematic or discretionary strategies
- Apply probabilistic thinking, data analysis, and market structure insight to pricing inefficiencies
- Continuously improve performance through trade review, attribution, and iteration
- Collaborate with researchers and engineers to enhance execution, tooling, and infrastructure
What they require
- Proven live trading track record in prediction markets
- Clear ownership of capital, risk, and execution decisions
- Demonstrated ability to perform consistently across market regimes
- Deep understanding of prediction market mechanics
- Deep understanding of liquidity and execution dynamics
- Deep understanding of event-driven pricing
- Deep understanding of behavioral inefficiencies
- Structured process across idea generation, position sizing, risk management, and post-trade analysis
Prediction Talent's client is a well-capitalized proprietary trading firm managing nine figures in assets and focused on identifying opportunities in frontier and inefficient markets. The team combines research, systematic trading, and entrepreneurial thinking to build trading businesses.